![]() There is a 71% probability this will be classified as a strong El Niño. It is 95% certain that El Niño will occur for January 2024 through February and March 2024. It’s always more favorable to play the odds.Ĭlimate prediction is better for showing the odds on what seasonal totals will be and what averages we will have at the end. When attempting to land all the forecasts for a three-month period, you can’t be a card counter if you don’t know how many decks are shuffled together. That’s okay for the impact of one storm that will affect one to two, sometimes three days, at a time. We know that the house of Mother Nature always wins but, a weather forecaster will always gamble at nailing down an expectation. We want to know what to expect when going into the "Weather Casino." The weighted odds can be used to determine a more difficult extended forecast, instead of flipping a coin. Seasonal outlooks are not used to dictate every single daily forecast, their odds however, can be applied.Įach year, a winter outlook is presented and the discussion of whether it is an El Niño, La Niña, or neutral year is had. Longer range forecasts use different weather models and data and must be applied with a broad brush. ![]() We can show you what is happening in this minute all the way into the following day with confidence. In the KOMO 4 Weather Center, we make your forecast daily, twice a day, for accuracy and the most recent weather model solutions. Lifeguards can give you advice on waves if you’re planning to go into the water.SEATTLE - There are days in Seattle it seems the weather forecast plays the odds on whether it will be dry with a rain shower or, rain showers with a dry break. If the arrow is parallel to or pointing away from land, the wave height is likely to be lower If the arrow points towards land, most of the waves’ power will reach It indicates how sheltered theīeach will be from these waves. The arrow shows the average direction of the waves 1-2 miles out to sea. Lifeguards can give youĪdvice on waves if you’re planning to go into the water. Period (more than 10 seconds) means the waves at the beach may be more powerful. This is the average number of seconds between one wave and the next, 1-2 miles out to sea. Read more about calculating the expected height of the waves at the beach. Water, keep an eye on the waves to stop you or your belongings being swept away. Individual waves out to sea or at the beach can be higher than this number. This is the average height of the waves, 1-2 miles out to sea. 11 Extreme - Avoid being outside during midday hours. 8-10 Very high - Spend time in the shade between 11am and 3pm. 6-7 High - Seek shade during midday hours, cover up and wear sunscreen. 3-5 Moderate - Take care during midday hours and do not spend too much time in the sun unprotected. ![]() No risk of UV - It’s safe to stay outside. UV exposure index and the protection required to help keep you safe: The higher the percentage of humidity, the wetter it will feel outside. If there is a lot of water vapour, the humidity will be Humidity is the amount of water vapor in the air. Visibility measures the distance at which an object can be clearly seen. Read more about how wind will affect you at the beach. The number is the average wind speed.īeware of offshore winds if you are using inflatables, paddle boards or kayaks. If the arrow points from land to sea, the wind The arrow shows the direction of the wind (up is north). ![]() The number represents the average wind speed expected at that time. The letters show the direction the wind is blowing The arrow shows the direction the wind is blowing. Strong winds are shown in bold for speeds of 29 mph or more. ![]() Wind gust shows the highest wind speed that you should encounter at that time, as winds peak and Idea of how the temperature will actually feel at the time. You can see the temperature in Celsius orįeels like temperature considers other factors, such as wind speed and humidity. This number shows the air temperature for the time period. This means that the symbol for 9am shows you what you will see from 9am to 10am.Ĭhance of precipitation represents how likely it is that rain (or other types of precipitation, such as sleet, snow, hail or drizzle) will fall from the sky at a certain time. Our weather symbols tell you the weather conditions for any given hour in the day or night. ![]()
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